India’s Q1 GDP data: Investment, consumption growth picks up pace | Economy & Policy News

India’s Q1 GDP data: Investment, consumption growth picks up pace | Economy & Policy News


Increased capital expenditure (capex) by the private sector and households lifted growth in capital investment to 7.5 per cent in Q1FY25 (April-June) from 6.46 per cent in the preceding quarter, the data released by the National Statistical Office (NSO) on Friday showed.


Gross fixed capital formation (GFCF), which represents infrastructure investment, contributed 31.3 per cent to gross domestic product (GDP) in Q1FY25, as against 31.5 per cent in the preceding quarter.


An investment share above 30 per cent is considered important for driving economic growth.


The rise in capital investment during Q1 comes even as capital expenditure by the central government declined owing to the general elections.


The data sourced from the Controller General of Accounts (CGA) showed that the Centre’s capex in Q1 stood at Rs 1.8 trillion, nearly 33 per cent lower than the Rs 2.7 trillion during the corresponding period last year.


Rajani Sinha, chief economist, CARE Ratings, said GFCF exhibited robust growth during Q1, surpassing the previous quarter’s performance, despite a contraction in the Centre’s capex. This suggests increased capex by households and the private sector. Notably, household investment in real estate has remained particularly strong after the pandemic ebbed.


Echoing similar views, Madan Sabnavis, chief economist, Bank of Baroda, said capital formation showed steady growth due mainly to housing and private investment.


“With the government coming back in a big way, there will be acceleration,” he added.


Meanwhile, growth in private final consumption expenditure (PFCE), which is taken as a proxy for household consumption, grew strongly to a seven-quarter high of 7.4 per cent during Q1FY25 from 3.9 per cent in Q4FY24, due to a partial correction in skewed consumption demand.


The share of PFCE in GDP rose to 60.4 per cent during the quarter as compared to 57.9 per cent in Q4FY24.


“The main indicators of consumption so far indicate the skewed nature of consumption growth is correcting somewhat with the pickup in two-wheeler sales, etc. The quarterly results of fast-moving consumer goods companies also point to revival in rural demand, which is favourable both for consumption as well as GDP growth,” said Paras Jasrai, senior economic analyst, India Ratings.

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However, Aditi Nayar, chief economist, ICRA Ratings, said the increase in PFCE was surprising, given the moderation in urban consumer sentiment and sporadic heatwaves, which affected footfalls in certain retail-focused sectors such as passenger vehicles and hotels.


“Notwithstanding some green shoots, rural demand is expected to have remained uneven in the quarter, amid the spillover of the impact of the poor monsoon in the preceding year,” she added.


However, government expenditure, measured by government final consumption expenditure (GFCE), contracted (-0.24 per cent) during the quarter. The share of GFCE in GDP fell to 10.2 per cent in Q1FY25 from 12.2 per cent in Q4FY24.


“The government expenditure patterns suggest contractionary fiscal policy. For three consecutive months (May-July 2024) expenditure growth has been negative. However, this is more due to negative capex growth, and capex growth picked up in July and this will result in expenditure growing, albeit at a slower pace,” Jasrai said.

First Published: Aug 30 2024 | 10:06 PM IST


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The Creators of ‘Industry’ Know Banking Is a Rigged Game

The Creators of ‘Industry’ Know Banking Is a Rigged Game

Ambition is a curse in the arena of high finance. At the prestigious London investment bank Pierpoint, which doubles as the backdrop for the Gen Z banking drama Industry, a cohort of university graduates vie for money and power. Harper (Myha’la), Yasmin (Marisa Abela), and Rob (Harry Lawtey) are desperate to prove they belong, that they’ve got the mettle to survive the battleground of the trading floor, but Pierpoint is a special kind of hell: Ambition is only as useful as your will to lie, cheat, and outmaneuver your way to the top. As easily as it opens doors, it just as easily gets you stabbed in the back.

“When you go down the laundry list of what they’ve done and what they did to get there,” cocreator Mickey Down says of his beloved characters, “they can be considered pretty heinous individuals.” But their savory deceit is why we watch. It’s why Industry has become The Show of the Season, the internet’s new meme-machine, drawing expected-but-flawed comparisons to Succession, another HBO supernova. Industry is a beast all its own.

Now in its third season, its most audacious and anxiety-riddled, Industry occupies the esteemed Sunday night 9 pm slot that Games of Thrones and The Sopornos made famous. The show is still the show many of us fell in love with when it debuted in 2020: all ego and heart and reckless ambition. Only, Down and cocreator Konrad Kay have upped the stakes even more this time around, illustrating how sinister and deep relationships run across media, politics, and finance for London’s privileged class.

This week’s upcoming episode—deliciously-titled “White Mischief”; fans of Uncut Gems rejoice, this one’s just for you—marks the season’s halfway point. Over Zoom from their respective residences in London, Down and Kay spoke with me about where the show has been and where it’s possibly headed next.

JASON PARHAM: I read that the initial pitch for this season was “coke and boats.” What was HBO’s response?

MICKEY DOWN: We had a 30,000-foot view of what the season was going to be in terms of the business story. And then we thought, look, we shouldn’t be scared to have a slight genre element to the show. We were already talking about Yasmin’s father, which we thought was one of the most interesting parts of the second season. We had the idea that her dad’s gone missing, and she’s been bearing the brunt of that in the media. We had all of that. We just hadn’t decided how to show it yet. So we said, what if we have a secondary timeline that has a bit of a mystery element to it? And what if we start the show from there? So we sent an email to HBO with the header “coke and boats” and said this is where we want to start the show.

Incredible.

MD: We told them that we want to dip back into this timeline when we feel like it’s good punctuation. We wanted to have this slow drip feel of what actually happened on the boat. And their response was very positive.

The show is continually testing its limits. Erect penises. Cum scenes. Crazy yacht parties. All kinds of drugs. Did HBO ever ask you to reel it in?


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Shop 13 Denim Shirts Similar to One Katie Holmes Just Wore

Shop 13 Denim Shirts Similar to One Katie Holmes Just Wore

Another day, another trendy basic to copy from the quintessential NYC girl, Katie Holmes. As we begin to make the transition from summer to fall and also begin to scratch our heads about what we’re going to wear for the confusing weather to come, we can always look to Holmes to help us figure it out. And one trendy basic she just chose for a recent walk around NYC is the perfect thing.

We all own white button-downs and will never stop wearing them, but if you’re looking for a more forward alt this fall, it’s a denim button-down shirt. Holmes found the ideal outfit to wear with her denim shirt: a full midi skirt and ballet flats. I honestly couldn’t think of a more perfect summer-to-fall outfit if I tried. But before we can all copy it, we need to get ourselves a denim button-down, and there are lots to choose from. Keep scrolling to shop some of the best ones on the internet.

Katie Holmes wearing a denim shirt in NYC

(Image credit: The Image Direct)

On Katie Holmes: Khaite bag

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